Editorial Signature Detail
VELA BAY
Signature Alpha Editorial
VELA BAY
A Signature Editorial briefing with live Alpha Formula intelligence, premium project detail, and investor-grade next-step tools.
Lead capture remains active before download so Clive can follow up with a bespoke Alpha interpretation for this listing.
Beds
5
Baths
5
SQFT
1,765
Floor Level
—
URA-backed research dashboard
D16 transaction intelligence
Read the latest district-level caveat activity for this listing before moving into the rest of the investment tools.
Historical trend indicator
D16: Average S$2,791 PSF based on the latest lodged caveats.
Median PSF
S$2,684
Price Range
— — —
Transaction Count
116
Recent transacted prices
Bagnall Haus
06/06/2026 • Floor range n/a • Size unavailable
—
S$2,644 PSF
BAGNALL HAUS
06/06/2026 • Floor range n/a • Size unavailable
—
S$2,914 PSF
Bagnall Haus
06/06/2026 • Floor range n/a • Size unavailable
—
S$2,616 PSF
Bagnall Haus
06/06/2026 • Floor range n/a • Size unavailable
—
S$2,616 PSF
BAGNALL HAUS
06/06/2026 • Floor range n/a • Size unavailable
—
S$2,914 PSF
Property type breakdown
Condo
116
Disclaimer: Market intelligence reports and transactional insights displayed on this platform are automatically generated utilizing historical data from caveats voluntarily lodged with the Singapore Land Authority (SLA) and published via the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) Data Service. While we strive to provide accurate and up-to-date data, these figures may not represent 100% of all market transactions and are intended strictly for educational and informational purposes. Users should independently verify all property transaction data before executing financial decisions.
Signature Investment Forecast
Weighted projection with 5-year confidence bands.
Vela Bay demonstrates robust growth potential in District 16, underpinned by a 21.4% five-year appreciation trend and a balanced district-level supply pipeline. Stable upgrader demand and favorable 2026 financing conditions are projected to drive capital values toward a best-case five-year appreciation of 31.1%.
Current Underwriting
$5,735,000
District-weighted fair value anchor used for the model.
Projected by 2029
+12.4%
3-year capital appreciation outlook under the weighted scenario.
Projected by 2031
+21.4%
5-year appreciation outlook with 2026 stability weighted heavily.
Conservative case · 2031
+13.5%
Base growth eases to 2.6% annually if supply and absorption soften.
Base case · 2031
+21.4%
Core Alpha Formula projection at 4% annualized growth.
Best case · 2031
+31.1%
Upside case expands to 5.6% annually if demand depth stays firm.
Signature Investment Analyst
Strategist Verdict
At VELA BAY, the 14.07% premium can be justified by Scarcity, which may still preserve Capital Growth Potential above the recent mean. Mean Reversion risk is lower when the market is paying for durable Singapore attributes that continue to command pricing power.
Listing PSF
$3,249
Project Mean PSF
$2,848
District Mean PSF
$2,678
Historical vs Projected
Historical district benchmark data is shown in grey. The Signature projection is shown in gold, with conservative and best-case confidence bands for the next 5 years.
Macro tailwind
Low-rate stability
The 2026 financing backdrop is weighted heavily in the forecast model.
Supply signal
Balanced district-level supply pipeline
District-level GLS pressure is used as the supply-side constraint variable.
Demand pulse
Stable upgrader demand with selective 2026 liquidity support
Demand-side score blends district liveability, connectivity, and upgrader depth.
Shortlist intelligence
Smarter reasoning for whether this listing deserves a closer look.
Singapore District: demand is being supported by stable upgrader demand with selective 2026 liquidity support, with measured new supply pressure in the current cycle.
Recommended next move
Treat this as a conviction shortlist pick only after a viewing confirms the premium is justified by stack, finish, or scarcity.
Shortlist fit
-14.1%
Value gap
This listing carries a premium to the current benchmark, so it belongs on the shortlist only if the scarcity story and execution quality are strong enough to defend that premium.
Carry profile
3.1%
Rental yield
Current rental carry screens at 3.1%, while the base-case 2031 outlook still projects +21.4% capital upside.
Underwriting risk
Measured
Supply signal
Benchmark conviction is anchored to the project mean, while district supply is measured, so this should be compared against nearby substitutes before final commitment.
Overview
Call to enquire!
Information sourced from Team SG Prop Portal's PropNex portfolio.
Compare Forecasts
Side-by-side Alpha Formula projections for this district.
Select up to two nearby listings to compare the 5-year base case, confidence bands, and current rental yield side by side.
Current listing
VELA BAY
D16 · Condo
$5,735,000
Automation #11
Interactive Exit Strategy & Cash Flow Modeler
Stress-test the path to profit over 3, 5, and 10 years using editable assumptions built for Singapore buyer economics.
Tax & Friction
Acquisition Costs
BSD: $283,700
ABSD: $0
Legal: $3,000
Holding Costs
Property Tax: $17,779
Maintenance: $4,800 / yr
Exit Frictions
3-Year Exit
SSD: $254,340
Agent Comm: $127,170
Legal: $2,500
5-Year Exit
SSD: $0
Agent Comm: $136,228
Legal: $2,500
10-Year Exit
SSD: $0
Agent Comm: $161,796
Legal: $2,500
Clear Path to Profit
At the 10-year mark, the Alpha Investment Formula still projects a total ROI of 163.5% with SGD 3,511,025 in net exit profit, but the hold period absorbs an annual net cash-flow drag of about SGD 69,812. The post-2025 4-year SSD penalty window keeps early exits inside a heavier friction band until year 4. This means the outcome depends more heavily on capital appreciation and amortized debt reduction than on near-term income carry under the current investment tax setting.
Monthly Mortgage
$18,134
Annual Net Cash Flow
-$69,812
BSD
$283,700
Cash Outlay
$1,720,450
ABSD
$0
AI Virtual Staging (Beta)
Coming Soon
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Project Details
Bedroom Types
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Amenities & Nearby Insights
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Floor Plans
Tower View
Gallery
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FAQs
